NFL Week 11 Picks

My Overall Record: 92-56

New York @ Buffalo

The Bills are without both starting receivers, and the Jets believe they still have a chance to make the playoffs. I like Rex Ryan’s group.

Pick: New York 24, Buffalo 10

Baltimore @ Chicago

Neither team is in great shape right now, but Baltimore is the bigger mess between the two teams, and I don’t like their chances going on the road to Chicago and coming away with a win.

Pick: Chicago 23, Baltimore 17

Cleveland @ Cincinnati

Cincinnati is such an up-and-down team, and they can’t seem to pull away in this division. But after two straight down weeks, I think its time for them go back up.

Pick: Cincinnati 23, Clevland 13

Oakland @ Houston

Case Keenum has actually played pretty well for Houston, and with Terrelle Pryor likely out of action, I think the Texans’ losing streak finally comes to an end.

Pick: Houston 24, Oakland 9

Arizona @ Jacksonville

Jacksonville had their fun and got their win last week. The Cardinals still think they have a shot at a playoff spot, and that alone will be enough to propel them to a win on Sunday.

Pick: Arizona 27, Jacksonville 6

Washington @ Philadelphia

The Redskins are a better offensive team than what the Eagles saw in Week 1, but their defense is as horrendous as ever. Its time for the Eagles to put the home-losing streak to bed.

Pick: Philadelphia 33, Washington 27

Detroit @ Pittsburgh

The Steelers are playing better, but I just don’t think they have the matchups defensively that they need to slow down Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush.

Pick: Detroit 27, Pittsburgh 19

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

A dysfunctional team vs a team that has thrown in the towel. It hasn’t been a fun year for Tampa Bay, but at least they’ve played hard in every game.

Pick: Tampa Bay 23, Atlanta 10

San Diego @ Miami

Remember when Miami started the year 3-0? Seems like eons ago. The surprising start to the season has been buried by losing and scandal, and the Dolphins couldn’t even beat Tampa Bay last Monday. San Diego picks up a much-needed win on the road.

Pick: San Diego 28, Miami 17

San Francisco @ New Orleans

The 49ers offense can’t possible be any worse than they were a week ago in Carolina. But they’re not in a much better spot this week, going on the road to face a tough New Orleans defense. Until Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers offense prove that they can get it done against a good defensive team, I’ve got to pick against them.

Pick: New Orleans 31, San Francisco 20

Green Bay @ New York

From Aaron Rodgers, to Seneca Wallace, to Scott Tolzien all within a span of a week. The Packers are suddenly in disarray, and the Giants have picked up a little confidence with their recent flurry of wins. I think New York keeps it going with another ugly home win.

Pick: New York 23, Green Bay 20

Minnesota @ Seattle

Its a lost year for the Minnesota Vikings. Seattle shouldn’t have any difficulty picking up a win at home.

Pick: Seattle 33, Minnesota 16

Kansas City @ Denver

My brain tells me that this is the end of the road for Chief Andy’s perfect record. This will be the first time all season that the Chiefs face a formidable offense, and the idea of Alex Smith and the anemic, dink-and-dunk offense that the Chiefs run going into Denver and outscoring the top offense in football just doesn’t seem realistic.

The only thing that gives me pause in this game is that Peyton Manning does have his worst games in big moments. Against a defense that has generated seven defensive touchdowns in nine games, you can’t count the Chiefs out. But although I expect them to come out with a strong showing, I fully expect Denver to win this game and Kansas City will FINALLY hear “I’ve gotta do a better job.”

Pick: Denver 30, Kansas City 20

New England @ Carolina

Its time for Carolina’s winning streak to come to an end. New England keeps getting healthier (they welcome running back Shane Vereen back this week) and they’ve had two weeks to prepare for this game.

Pick: New England 27, Carolina 23