I was like a lot of other people this past weekend in that I sat glued to the television for the better part of three days. And I got tons of phone calls, texts and emails asking what I thought about this pick or that pick or the draft as a whole.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say another million times if I have to: I have no clue.
No one has any clue about who had a good draft or who screwed it up. The closest way I could ever come to judge a draft is if you could identify a team’s holes and then ask if they at least attempted to address them. The Eagles needed another defensive end, and they most certainly addressed that need. Did they fix it? Who knows? We have no idea whether the Eagles solved their defensive end issue.
So to illustrate my point, I started Googling past draft recaps and comparing them to what we know now. What I learned immediately was that not a lot of websites keep those posted and for good reason. They are flat out wrong about 80% of the time.
I did find this one from Charles Robinson of Yahoo! Sports from 2007. He gave each team a draft grade and explained why. I’m not knocking him for it. Tons of people do it and many people enjoy reading them. I check them out after the draft, I just don’t put any stock in them. If anyone in the media was fully qualified to judge a draft immediately after the selections, they’d be in someone’s front office. Even then, they wouldn’t know for sure.
Here is what Charles had to say about the Eagles’ draft back in 2007:
Philadelphia Eagles: Quarterback was a need, but No. 36 overall? And Kevin Kolb? It seemed like a bit of a stretch. Most teams seemed to like him in the third round, and taking him this high is only going to create more questions about Donovan McNabb. When the Eagles finally did address the defensive end need, they tabbed a guy without great speed in Victor Abiamiri. Third-rounder Stewart Bradley is slow and seems more suited to a 3-4 defense in the NFL. Running back Tony Hunt is a big back that offers good value in the third. It’s hard to believe the Eagles didn’t take a single wide receiver in this draft or take a stab at Seattle’s Darrell Jackson or Oakland’s Randy Moss ‚Äì both of which moved for only fourth-rounders.
-Maybe Kolb was a reach, but it would seem like they got the right guy. While we still don’t for sure exactly how good Kolb can be (can he hold up against the pressure and the pounding? Will he be a turnover machine?), I think we’ll agree that at this point, we think Kolb can play.
-Ok, he’s kind of right on Abiamiri. He’s given the team next to nothing, mostly because of injuries.
-Pretty wrong on Stewart Bradley. Before he got hurt, he was becoming a star in the middle of a 4-3 defense.
-Tony Hunt was phenomenal value in the third round. Played in 14 games (hardly) in two seasons and scored 2 TD’s. Not that’s value. Joe Banner and Andy Reid are still stunned by all that value. He had so much of it that he got cut before his third season and hasn’t been seen since. Value.
-I’ll agree that Randy Moss was worth a fourth rounder. I think we’re all in agreement there. But what if the Eagles did as Robinson suggests and handed over a fourth for Darrell Jackson? Since that trade he scored four TD’s for two different teams and was out of football last year. Value?
So you see my point. These draftniks like Mel Kiper and Todd McShay are educated people who have done their research. But at the end of the day, even that means next to nothing.