• October 6, 2022

Two Stone Cold Locks To Finish The Regular Season

It’s the final week of the season and you have the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Washington Redskins with the Birds favored by 9.5.  In the other game, the New England Patriots are favored by 10 points and hosting the Buffalo Bills.  I see one of these games being close and the other being a blow out.

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA, THE PICK, WASHINGTON +9.5

When the Jets fell to the New York Giants last week the Eagles were mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, making this weeks matchup with the Redskins meaningless. However, Philadelphia is still being asked to lay 9.5 points at home where they have struggled mightily this season. The line on this game is a little big for my liking for many different reasons. Philly’s home struggles have been well documented as they have posted a 2-5 record (straight up and to the spread) at the Linc this season.

When the Eagles have been asked to lay five points or more at home, they’re 1-6 to the spread over the last two years. Even though the birds have won 3 straight, I simply don’t trust them laying 9.5 points at home. Washington should be able to keep it close and play the Eagles tough, like they normally do in Philadelphia. The Redskins are capable of playing solid defense, which should keep them in this game. 9.5 is way too many points to lay with the Eagles, take the Skins as a very solid value play here.

BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND, THE PICK, NEW ENGLAND -10

The Patriots are able to clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win on Sunday, while the Bills season which once looked promising, has spiraled out of control. Riddled by injuries, the Bills just haven’t been able to keep their early season magic going into the second half. Buffalo finally snapped a seven game losing streak last week, but the win was aided by 4 turnovers from Tim Tebow.

Unlike Buffalo, New England has hit their stride in the second half by reeling off seven straight victories. They had some issues against the Dolphins last week as they trailed 17-0 at halftime, but rallied to outscore Miami 27-7 in the second half. This Patriots squad really has it going rite now, and this is their time of the year. Smelling home field throughout the playoffs, New England should blow the doors off of Buffalo. Lay the points with the Pats.

Steve Melzer

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paulman
paulman
December 30, 2011 11:15 am

Definitely take the 9.5 points with the Skins, these games are usually close and I actually like the Skins to win outright behind the running of Royster/Helu as the Eagles are deflated now that the reality is no playoffs for them.. At least last week, they were amaped up all week during their preparations about a chance to make it .. This week I think it’s a different story..
The Bills traditionally play the Pats tough, but Patriots want a payback and in particular Brady had his worst game of the Season thowing like 3-4 Int’s when they met way back in September..

paulman
paulman
December 30, 2011 5:40 pm

NFC Playoffs

Wildcard
Giants over Lions
49ers over FAlcons

Divisional
Saints over 49ers
Packers over Giants

NFC Champinship
Saints over Packers

AFC Playoffs
Steelers over Broncos
Texans over Bengals

Divisional
Pats over the Steelers
Ravens over Texans

AFC Championship
Pats over Ravens

Super Bowl
Saints over Pats (D Brees the MVP)

lewdoggie20
lewdoggie20
January 1, 2012 10:11 am

Paulman you are telling me the 49ers are lossing to the Rams today? Don’t think so. 49ers get the bye insert Saints vs Falcons for Wildcard game

paulman
paulman
January 1, 2012 1:21 pm

Yes, that’s what’s I am predicting..

vinnietheevictor
vinnietheevictor
January 1, 2012 1:47 pm

This Vick guy is a pretty good QB. Never noticed before…..

MaybeTheyCan
MaybeTheyCan
January 1, 2012 2:12 pm

5 runs for 1 yard and 7/17 passing. Whew, what a prolific offense! Jeez, if Grossman wasn’t so pathetic the Eagles would be down big time!

vinnietheevictor
vinnietheevictor
January 1, 2012 2:48 pm

Thank goodness Washington is more incompetent than the Birds are.

vinnietheevictor
vinnietheevictor
January 1, 2012 2:49 pm

I think I will enjoy reading more “its the Defense’s fault” posts.

vinnietheevictor
vinnietheevictor
January 1, 2012 3:11 pm

1 – Why is Ronnie Brown in there? I enjoy watching him run 2 yards with a guy on his back. Must be Lewis.

2 – Can Vick hit anything other than a screen pass? He almost got Avant killed. And then throws the ball into Hall’s back with Maclin 10 yrds open. Then a ball that Avant has to rip from the defenders…..yay a completed slant! Oh, another screen to Celek…that’s a suprise.

Its just painful to watch.

If we have another “4th quarter collapse” I’m sure all I’ll read about is how its the Defense’s fault.

jimmy mac
jimmy mac
January 1, 2012 3:21 pm

Vick is just a dumb quarterback. He had Celek open and just held it too long. Ill watch all the good qb’s battle in the playoffs and hold the Lombardi. That is something Vick and the Eagle’s will not do. Dumb qb’s do not win Super Bowl’s. The Eagle’s must be dumb too because McNabb was pretty stupid as well. I guess the Eagle’s just like their qb’s stupid but athletically gifted. Which equals, tons of highlight films and zero Lombardi trophies.

vinnietheevictor
vinnietheevictor
January 1, 2012 3:37 pm

You know where the myths come from though. What did the announcer just say…”Mick Vick with 31 attempts today. He’s throwing it A LOT!! Its all Michael Vick. 31 attempts and its only the 3rd quarter!!”

Ya….he’s off the charts!!! Wow…so much on his shoulders!!

After 3 Qs.
Flynn 33 atts
Stafford 38 atts
Smith 28 atts
FitzP 41 atts
Brady 27 atts
Brees 35 atts

etc etc….

Hey….a BIG PLAY! there we go. He’s all better now. Superbolw ready QB now, All you need is 2 60 yrd plays a game right?

vinnietheevictor
vinnietheevictor
January 1, 2012 3:45 pm

There we go. That’s the Vick I know.

AwolWest
AwolWest
January 1, 2012 7:38 pm

This is my Eagles week 17, season review, and offseason preview. Would be nice if we conversed on that page, but either way I’m glad the Birds finished with 4 straight wins and momentum into next season. We are primed for a run next season…
awolwest.wordpress.com/wp-admin/post.php?post=460&action=edit&message=6&postpost=v2

paulman
paulman
January 1, 2012 8:27 pm

Most teams pass in th NFL pass it aounf alot now, and many teams set Franchise Records fo Offensive Production as far as Total Yards,1st Downs, Points Scores, etc,etc.. Even though the Eagles set Records Offensively this season , so did the Saints, Packers,Falcons,Lions,Panthers,Giants from the NFC Conference also and sooner a later the Defense and SPecial Teams have to make stops and or big plays.. Great Finish by the Eagles today in the 4th Quarter as they buried the Redskins as they should have..

paulman
paulman
January 1, 2012 8:35 pm

Reports is the SL Rams are going to announec the termination of HC Spags and GM Devancey..
It’s also been reported that Spags will rejoin the Giants Staff as DC/Asst Coach as their Current DC ,Perry Jewell, is in line to accept the Jaquars or Tampa Bay Bucs open HC position.. Apparently Spags is not as excited to return to Philly as many Philly fans were excited about possibly having him back as DC.. Another punch to the gut for AR and the Eagles…

paulman
paulman
January 1, 2012 8:46 pm

Jets WR Bench SAntonio Holmes ed in the final minutes of Game which they lost to the Dolphins for poor conduct, body landgauage for what teammates state that he out and out “quit” on his Team… He is there supposed Captain who had some run in’s with their OL and their OC earlier this season..
The Lesson of this Story is to not to be foolish and give long-term big time contracts to the DIva Type, Me-First WR’s who are temperamental and have mood swings more often than women…There are plently of Good WR’s all around the NFL and to be honest are a dime a dozen in the NFL anymore…..

btc24
btc24
January 1, 2012 8:50 pm

Paulman, where are you seeing that Spags may return to NY? Also, when did Raheem Morris get fired?

paulman
paulman
January 1, 2012 11:43 pm

TB Bucs R Morris Termination will be announced tommorrow.. He completeley lost his team that has lost 10 in a Row…
Don’t be surprised to see a Tony Dungy be heavily wooed into taking that Team over.. (and possibly even Gruden) who both live in that area and are very connected still to the Greater Tampa Area…